Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari0 - 2Empoli
We said: Cagliari 1-0 Empoli
There have been only four league goals scored between these two sides this season, so it may be that a single strike could decide the points' destiny. Backed by their noisy home fans, Cagliari can get off the mark with an overdue victory, just edging out their visitors from Tuscany. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Empoli |
43.1% ( 0.08) | 27.18% ( -0.04) | 29.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
