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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Empoli logo

Bologna
1 - 1
Empoli

Fabbian (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyasi (3')
Pezzella (55'), Henderson (90+4'), Vasquez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 Empoli
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Empoli

Empoli have not won successive Serie A matches since May 2023 - in that case, one win was against Bologna - and that trend may continue this weekend. Nonetheless, the Azzurri will be emboldened by their result against Roma, and leaving the Dall'Ara with a point is well within their compass. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.55%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BolognaDrawEmpoli
64.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 22.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 13.62% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.1% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)55.16% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)76.4% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)16.7% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.1 -0.1)46.58% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)50.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.88% (0.0029999999999983 0)85.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 64.02%
    Empoli 13.62%
    Draw 22.34%
BolognaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.55%
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.09% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 64.02%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 13.62%

How you voted: Bologna vs Empoli

Bologna
65.3%
Draw
20.8%
Empoli
13.9%
72
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Empoli
0-1
Bologna

Luperto (28'), Pezzella (30'), Maleh (90+6')
Fabbian (90+4')
Freuler (90+7')
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
Orsolini (21', 66', 90+2')
Corazza (44'), El Azzouzi (58')

Cacace (10'), Walukiewicz (39'), Ranocchia (45+3'), Cancellieri (81')
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Empoli
3-1
Bologna
Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Orsolini (88' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Bologna
0-0
Empoli
Schouten (23'), De Silvestri (40')
Asllani (31'), Bandinelli (40'), Parisi (59'), Cacace (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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