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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
2 - 1
Roma

Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')

The Match

Match Report

Empoli pull off a great escape from the Serie A relegation zone on the final day with a 2-1 win over Roma, keeping Davide Nicola's men in Serie A as Frosinone go down.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
33.32% (-0.315 -0.31) 26.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 39.98% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (-0.366 -0.37)53.43% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-0.311 -0.31)74.96% (0.31 0.31)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)30.17% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.465 -0.46)66.32% (0.464 0.46)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.21% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)61.3% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.32%
    Roma 39.98%
    Draw 26.68%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
27.2%
Draw
17.6%
Roma
55.2%
125
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
7-0
Empoli
Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Jan 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Empoli
2-4
Roma
Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan167542516926
8Bologna156722118325
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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