Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
We said: Torino 0-1 Bologna
Friday's game is expected to be low-scoring, with Torino failing to score in four of their last five home matches (three goalless games). Bologna have scored in 12 of their 16 away games this term, and Motta's side could nick the odd goal required to win this one, even if many observers will expect a goalless encounter.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.16% . A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.9%) . The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (11.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood .
Result Torino Draw Bologna 41.16% ( 0.14) 29.34% ( 0.47) 29.5% ( -0.61)
Both teams to score 42.77% ( -1.45)
36.18% ( -1.67) 63.82% ( 1.67)
16.95% ( -1.21) 83.05% ( 1.21)
69.46% ( -0.76) 30.54% ( 0.76)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.24% ( -0.91) 66.76% ( 0.91)
61.57% ( -1.4) 38.43% ( 1.4)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.82% ( -1.37) 75.18% ( 1.37)
Torino 41.16%
Bologna 29.49%
Draw 29.33%
Torino Draw Bologna 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.32% Total : 41.16% 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.33% 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.49%
How you voted: Torino vs Bologna
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