Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
45.15% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( 0.03) | 29.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( -0.11) | 51.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( -0.09) | 73.1% ( 0.1) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0.06) | 22.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( -0.1) | 56.3% ( 0.1) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.05) | 32.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.05) | 68.5% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
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