Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
33.83% ( -0.13) | 26.38% ( 0.11) | 39.79% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.46) | 52.07% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.4) | 73.8% ( 0.4) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( -0.31) | 29.17% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% ( -0.38) | 65.11% ( 0.38) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( -0.2) | 25.69% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( -0.27) | 60.61% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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