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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
0 - 4
Napoli


Mina (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli

 Even if Napoli are starting to take shape under the demanding management of Antonio Conte, their hosts are set to put up strong resistance and could hold out for a point. Cagliari can be tough customers on home turf, and their forwards will pose a real threat to the Azzurri's new three-man back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
25.69% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 24.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 49.31% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.251 -0.25)50.11% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.224 -0.22)72.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.199 -0.2)34.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.213 -0.21)70.74% (0.206 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)20.34% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.142 -0.14)52.73% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.69%
    Napoli 49.31%
    Draw 24.99%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Napoli
72.0%
75
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Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
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Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')

Walukiewicz (59')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Udinese74121010013
4Juventus7340101913
5Lazio74121411313
6AC Milan7322159611
7Torino73221211111
8Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
9Empoli724164210
10Fiorentina724198110
11Roma724185310
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
13Bologna715179-28
14Como72231014-48
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma71331012-26
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19Monza704359-44
20VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
> Serie A Full Table


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