Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
69.84% | 17.28% | 12.88% |
Both teams to score 55.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.95% | 35.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% | 57.05% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.85% | 39.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.14% | 75.86% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.94% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.05% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.72% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.28% | 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 37 | 51 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 |
5 | Juventus | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 40 |
6 | Fiorentina | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
8 | AC Milan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Roma | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |