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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Omobamidele (29' og.)
Fati (41'), Moder (67'), Veltman (78'), Lallana (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dominguez (14'), Omobamidele (19'), Williams (55'), Sangare (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Andrew Omobamidele scores an own goal as Brighton & Hove Albion record a 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in Sunday's Premier League clash at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Brighton
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNottingham Forest
73.58% (-0.496 -0.5) 15.9% (0.254 0.25) 10.51% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (-0.526 -0.53)34.96% (0.524 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.05% (-0.592 -0.59)56.95% (0.59 0.59)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.84% (-0.235 -0.23)8.16% (0.2309 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.39% (-0.583 -0.58)28.61% (0.581 0.58)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08)43.03% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (0.067 0.07)79.31% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 73.57%
    Nottingham Forest 10.52%
    Draw 15.9%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNottingham Forest
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.77% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.87% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 73.57%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.9%
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.96% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.52%

How you voted: Brighton vs Nott'm Forest

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.8%
Draw
25.2%
Nottingham Forest
7.0%
115
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Brighton
Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58')
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Brighton
Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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