Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
49.03% ( -0.18) | 22.51% ( 0.01) | 28.45% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 63.36% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.11% ( 0.05) | 36.88% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.93% ( 0.06) | 59.06% ( -0.06) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% ( -0.04) | 15.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.08) | 44.19% ( 0.08) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.13) | 25.11% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.19) | 59.81% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 60 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |