NY Red Bulls3 - 1Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 FC Cincinnati
The last four meetings between New York Red Bulls and Cincinnati have produced a combined 11 goals, and we can see another entertaining affair unfolding here. That said, we are backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
46.15% ( -0.96) | 24.88% ( 0.31) | 28.97% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.51% ( -0.94) | 47.49% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.3% ( -0.87) | 69.7% ( 0.87) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( -0.79) | 20.63% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.81% ( -1.26) | 53.19% ( 1.26) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( -0.01) | 30.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% ( -0.01) | 66.31% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.97% |
How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |