MX23RW : Monday, December 23 23:00:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Cincinnati

Morgan (7', 59'), Duncan (52')
Nealis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baird (67')
Yedlin (88'), Murphy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The last four meetings between New York Red Bulls and Cincinnati have produced a combined 11 goals, and we can see another entertaining affair unfolding here. That said, we are backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
46.15% (-0.958 -0.96) 24.88% (0.306 0.31) 28.97% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-0.937 -0.94)47.49% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.872 -0.87)69.7% (0.874 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.788 -0.79)20.63% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81% (-1.258 -1.26)53.19% (1.261 1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 46.15%
    FC Cincinnati 28.97%
    Draw 24.88%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.286 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
62.1%
Draw
27.6%
FC Cincinnati
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
(Aggregate 1-1 | NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties)
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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