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Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
New York Red Bulls

Montreal
2 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Sunusi (11'), Opoku (40')
Saliba (22'), Sosa (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carmona (61'), Hall (88')
Harper (52'), Edelman (60'), Eile (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 0-1 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls have been able to move on quickly after a disappointing result, and we believe they will be able to transition effectively against a Montreal side missing some key defensive midfielders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York Red Bulls
40.03% (0.012 0.01) 26.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 33.86% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)50.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.82% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27%59.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)28.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.03%
    New York Red Bulls 33.86%
    Draw 26.11%
CF MontrealDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.86%

How you voted: Montreal vs NY Red Bulls

CF Montreal
18.5%
Draw
37.0%
New York Red Bulls
44.4%
27
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Montreal
Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
rhs 2.0
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