Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.