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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (45'), Thiare (64', 90+5')
Wiley (50'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herbers (66')
Teran (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

 With Atlanta likely to be at full strength in the attack, we expect them to tear through a Fire backline that have been rather leaky, and a striker with the quality of Giakoumakis rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.083000000000006 0.08)40.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08)62.65% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)13.65% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.83% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.01%
    Chicago Fire 20.52%
    Draw 21.47%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Atlanta
Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Przybylko (90')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta
Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')
Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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