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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Lincoln City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Lincoln City

 With so much on the line for both teams this weekend it is likely to be quite a closely contested and cagey game, with neither team wanting to give too much of an advantage away. However, the strong run of form that Lincoln has displayed in the second half of the season should see them through here, with their quality likely being too much for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.95% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.012 0.01)23.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.75%
    Lincoln City 47.95%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Lincoln

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
7.4%
Lincoln City
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
0-0
Lincoln
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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