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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 1
Hiroshima

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sasaki (78')
Vieira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Brighton
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart
Thursday, August 1 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

While Tokyo Verdy have had a solid season upon their return to the top flight, they have struggled against the bigger teams in the league and have already lost twice to their upcoming opponents this term. Sanfrecce have only lost one match on the road all season and they will know that they need to keep winning games to remain within touching distance of the top three. We feel the visitors will manage to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
16.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 21.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 62.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)47.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)70.11% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.83% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (-0.012 -0.01)79.14% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)14.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)43.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 16.04%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.36%
    Draw 21.59%
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.23%
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 16.04%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy
38.5%
Draw
0.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Hiroshima
4-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kato (2'), Soteriou (47', 62'), Vieira (81')
Sasaki (32'), Nakano (34')
Kimura (90+4')
Miki (22'), Yamada (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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