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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 5, 2024 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 3
Vissel Kobe

Arai (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osako (11'), Hirose (52'), Yamaguchi (71')
Thuler (30'), Yamakawa (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Vissel Kobe

 Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Vissel Kobe are currently separated by just three points in the top half of the table, and we anticipate a thrilling contest on Friday. Both sides have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawVissel Kobe
45.26% (-0.542 -0.54) 25.97% (0.34 0.34) 28.77% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.929 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-1.272 -1.27)52.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-1.106 -1.11)73.86% (1.109 1.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)22.98% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-1.177 -1.18)56.78% (1.179 1.18)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (-0.508 -0.51)32.71% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (-0.575 -0.57)69.27% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45.26%
    Vissel Kobe 28.77%
    Draw 25.97%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.26%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.373 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.303 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
33.3%
Draw
51.9%
Vissel Kobe
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 5am
Gameweek 4
Vissel Kobe
0-0
Hiroshima
Thuler (54'), Honda (74')
Sasaki (40'), Shichi (87'), Araki (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 11am
Gameweek 27
Hiroshima
2-0
Vissel Kobe
Shichi (7'), Kato (30')
Notsuda (47')
May 13, 2023 6am
Gameweek 13
Vissel Kobe
2-0
Hiroshima
Araki (47' og.), Muto (90+5')
Thuler (84'), Ide (89')

Shichi (28'), Araki (64'), Nakano (71')
Oct 8, 2022 6am
Gameweek 32
Vissel Kobe
4-0
Hiroshima
Mar 6, 2022 7am
Gameweek 3
Hiroshima
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Sasaki (82')
Iniesta (28')
rhs 2.0
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