MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:53:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fujio (6')
Fujio (68'), Oh (77'), Oh (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Machida Zelvia

While Tokyo Verdy have been one of the most difficult teams to beat on their home patch, they now face the side with the league's best away record and are unbeaten in their last six matches on the road. Additionally, the visitors completely outplayed this opponent in the reverse fixture, and while this match is unlikely to be as lopsided as the last, we do still feel Zelvia will come away with the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Machida Zelvia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Machida Zelvia.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawMachida Zelvia
27.99% (-0.165 -0.16) 27.43% (0.199 0.2) 44.58% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.08% (-0.655 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.789 -0.79)58.03% (0.791 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.623 -0.62)78.72% (0.626 0.63)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.56 -0.56)36.46% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.571 -0.57)73.25% (0.57300000000001 0.57)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.372 -0.37)25.91% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (-0.507 -0.51)60.9% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 27.99%
    Machida Zelvia 44.58%
    Draw 27.43%
Tokyo VerdyDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 12.75% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.58%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia

Tokyo Verdy
9.1%
Draw
36.4%
Machida Zelvia
54.5%
11
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 15
Machida Zelvia
5-0
Tokyo Verdy
Miyahara (11' og.), Fujio (29', 60' pen.), Shibato (80'), Lima (90+3')

Chida (49'), Hayashi (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!