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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Sep 22, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Cerezo

Suzuki (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ceara (21', 24')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
40.02% (0.234 0.23) 25.93% (-0.044 -0.04) 34.03% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.13% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (0.142 0.14)50.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (0.125 0.13)72.12% (-0.134 -0.13)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.185 0.19)24.69% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (0.264 0.26)59.23% (-0.272 -0.27)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)28.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.067 -0.07)63.78% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 40.02%
    Cerezo Osaka 34.03%
    Draw 25.93%
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.03%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7am
Sep 30, 2023 10am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
0-2
Shonan Bellmare

Ceara (52')
Suzuki (79'), Ohashi (87')
Sugioka (10'), Hiraoka (74'), Fukuda (84')
May 20, 2023 7am
Gameweek 14
Shonan Bellmare
0-2
Cerezo

Okamoto (63')
Ceara (53'), Uejo (89')
Oct 1, 2022 6am
Gameweek 31
Cerezo
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Patric (90+2' pen.)
Kato (90+6' og.)
May 29, 2022 7am
Gameweek 16
Shonan Bellmare
0-2
Cerezo
Taggart (18'), Kato (90+4')
Maikuma (78')
rhs 2.0
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