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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 0
Machida Zelvia


Fernandes (49')
FT

Heroki Mochizuki (20'), Soma (27'), Dresevic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia

The last three meetings between Cerezo Osaka and Machida have yielded a combined 11 goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the away side to narrowly edge out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
29.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 43.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.36% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)32.54% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)69.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)24.24% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 29.86%
    Machida Zelvia 43.73%
    Draw 26.41%
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Machida Zelvia

Cerezo Osaka
15.0%
Draw
10.0%
Machida Zelvia
75.0%
20
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 11am
Gameweek 14
Machida Zelvia
2-1
Cerezo
Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
Ceara (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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