Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.