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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kristiansund Stadion

Kristiansund
3 - 1
Sarpsborg

Gueye (69'), Rafn Mikaelsson (75' pen.), Isaksen (82')
Sivertsen (26'), Rafn Mikaelsson (65'), Robertsen Skiri (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orjasaeter (86')
Chrupalla (29'), Andersen (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Kristiansund and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-3 Stromsgodset
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Kristiansund 2-1 Sarpsborg 08

Both teams head into this fixture low on confidence and momentum, and each will likely see this as a fixture to potentially change their fortunes. The poor defensive record of Sarpsborg could be the difference in this one though, with Kristiansund likely to exploit that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.

Result
KristiansundDrawSarpsborg 08
37.16% (-0.113 -0.11) 23.59% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 39.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 63.04% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (-0.16 -0.16)38.83% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (-0.167 -0.17)61.15% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Kristiansund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.128 -0.13)21.11% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)53.94% (0.197 0.2)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.1% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)52.36% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kristiansund 37.16%
    Sarpsborg 08 39.25%
    Draw 23.58%
KristiansundDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.16%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg

Kristiansund
39.3%
Draw
17.9%
Sarpsborg 08
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 29
Sarpsborg
2-2
Kristiansund
Skalevik (21'), Soltvedt (76')
Diop (23'), Peter Ulvestad (45')
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 2
Kristiansund
2-3
Sarpsborg
Diop (52'), Mucolli (79')
Agbo (60'), Annan (78')
Saletros (1'), Maigaard (32'), Molins (42')
Jorgen Halvorsen (68'), Billborn (80')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 23
Kristiansund
1-3
Sarpsborg
Nilsen (90+1')
Diop (46'), Gjertsen (79')
Lindseth (7', 64', 78')
Lindseth (72')
May 27, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Sarpsborg
0-1
Kristiansund

Saletros (45')
Kartum (76')
Erik Ulvestad (27'), Nilsen (72'), Askar (78'), Kastrati (88')
Dec 2, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 27
Sarpsborg
1-1
Kristiansund
Jarl (85')
Adeoti (11'), Dyrestam (34'), Soltvedt (89'), Thomassen (89')
Dyrestam (41')
Skarsem (21')
Skarsem (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SK BrannBrann28177453302358
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt28168464293556
3Viking FKViking FK28158555371853
4MoldeMolde28147762342849
5RosenborgRosenborg2815494738949
6Fredrikstad2812973735245
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset2898113138-735
8KFUM OsloKFUM28810103234-234
9HamKam2889113436-233
10Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2896134053-1333
11SandefjordSandefjord2887133845-731
12KristiansundKristiansund28710113040-1031
13Tromso ILTromso2886143142-1130
14FK HaugesundHaugesund2886142640-1430
15Lillestrom2873183155-2424
16Odd2858152550-2523


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