Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.