We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Freiburg
Both sides need to win, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. A draw would not be enough for Frankfurt to challenge for sixth, but a point may be enough for Freiburg to finish fourth, and it is set to be a fascinating conclusion to the Bundesliga campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.