DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg1 - 5RB Leipzig
FT(HT: 0-4)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Despite Leipzig's seven-match unbeaten run against Freiburg, the home side's motivation to beat the Red Bulls and make another final should see them edge Rose's troops. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
30.01% ( 0.05) | 23.68% ( 0.01) | 46.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( -0) | 41.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( -0) | 63.91% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0.03) | 26.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0.04) | 61.59% ( -0.04) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.84% ( -0.03) | 49.16% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 30.01%
RB Leipzig 46.3%
Draw 23.68%
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.3% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Freiburg
57.4%Draw
13.1%RB Leipzig
29.5%122
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
