MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 18:56:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg

Freiburg have suffered a hugely disappointing couple of weeks, losing both of their crucial top-four battles as well as being dumped out of the DFB-Pokal, and it will be difficult for them to put aside any lingering negative energy on Friday. As such, we can envisage Wolfsburg gaining a positive result from this meeting, although it may not be the victory that they require to remain in pole position to claim sixth place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.013000000000005 0.01)44.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.57%
    Wolfsburg 31.88%
    Draw 24.55%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
Draw
Wolfsburg
Freiburg
50.0%
Draw
17.0%
Wolfsburg
33.0%
88
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Otavio (22')

Woo-yeong (53'), Eggestein (72')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
3-0
Freiburg
Brooks (21'), Weghorst (39'), Gerhardt (85')
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-1
Wolfsburg
Petersen (11')
Brekalo (42')
Otavio (32'), Arnold (34'), Brooks (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!