MX23RW : Wednesday, September 18 12:40:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67')
Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16'), Losada (83')
Chavarria (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Saturday's game could be close to call with Belgrano no longer distracted by continental games for a while, even if the same applies to Argentinos, who have endured a disappointing road form. The outcome could be contingent on which team adapts quicker following midweek Sudamericana exertions, and that uncertainty means we err on the side of caution by going for a tie in the round four fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)59.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (0.014999999999997 0.01)80.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.012 0.01)34.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.012 0.01)71.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.5%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.22%
    Draw 28.27%
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Belgrano
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Belgrano
Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Feb 2, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 17
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Belgrano
Hauche (22'), Mac Allister (83'), Torren (93')
Gudino (25'), Meli (79')
Herrera (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield149322781930
2Atletico TucumanTucuman147431512325
3Racing ClubRacing147342011924
4Instituto147342012824
5HuracanHuracan14662127524
6TalleresTalleres146622016424
7UnionUnion146621511424
8Deportivo Riestra147161515022
9River PlateRiver Plate145631911821
10Boca Juniors145631914521
11GimnasiaGimnasia146351614221
12Rosario CentralRosario145451715219
13LanusLanus144731819-119
14Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz134631412218
15BelgranoBelgrano144641517-218
16Independiente Rivadavia14536913-418
17EstudiantesEstudiantes144551514117
18TigreTigre144551819-117
19IndependienteIndependiente14383910-117
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs145271116-517
21Platense144461214-216
22Sarmiento143651012-215
23BanfieldBanfield143561117-614
24San Lorenzo133461113-213
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB14347615-913
26Defensa y JusticiaDefensa142571022-1211
27Central CordobaC. Cordoba142481324-1110
28Barracas Central14158519-148


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!