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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
River Plate

Lescano (40')
Vega (20'), Galvan (73'), Heredia (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliendro (35'), Borja (45'), Villagra (51'), Solari (75'), Echeverri (85'), Diaz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 3-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 21 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 River Plate

Two of the division's strongest teams competing against each other is likely to provide a closely fought contest, which is why it would not be a shock to see them draw. While the visitors might be slight favourites due to the season they have had, seeing them play to a draw could be the likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
33.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.71% (-0.035 -0.04) 40.97% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.149 0.15)49.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.134 0.13)71.41% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)28.17% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)63.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.093000000000004 0.09)23.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.133 0.13)58.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 33.32%
    River Plate 40.97%
    Draw 25.71%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.97%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (45+1')
Herrera (78'), Diaz (85'), Fonseca (90+5')
Gabriel Montiel (84')
Rodriguez (81'), Gabriel Montiel (85'), Moyano (90+3')
Aug 21, 2023 1am
Gameweek 1
Argentinos Jrs
3-2
River Plate
Di Cesare (11'), Gondou (44', 57')
Villalba (40'), Redondo (74')
Palavecino (27'), Barco (41')
Diaz (34'), Kranevitter (43'), Aliendro (45+1'), Perez (82')
Feb 12, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (50' pen.), Barco (71' pen.)
Oct 3, 2022 12.30am
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
4-2
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (6'), Fernandez (9'), Quintero (67' pen.), Herrera (89')
Avalos (39'), Villalba (50')
Florentin (12'), Villalba (24'), Torren (26'), Galarza (90+2')
Torren (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HuracanHuracan743093615
2UnionUnion642072514
3TalleresTalleres7421128414
4Racing ClubRacing7412157813
5Instituto7412106413
6LanusLanus7331119212
7Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield732296311
8Independiente Rivadavia732242211
9BelgranoBelgrano73221213-111
10River PlateRiver Plate7313128410
11GimnasiaGimnasia7313107310
12Sarmiento731388010
13Atletico TucumanTucuman724166010
14Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB731345-110
15Rosario CentralRosario623111839
16EstudiantesEstudiantes72325509
17Deportivo Riestra730467-19
18Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs7304611-59
19Boca Juniors62227618
20Platense722357-28
21IndependienteIndependiente714258-37
22TigreTigre7133611-56
23San Lorenzo612346-25
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa705269-35
25BanfieldBanfield612358-35
26Barracas Central712438-55
27Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz613247-33
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba7016718-111


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