Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.