Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | River Plate |
26.52% ( 0.18) | 24.85% ( -0.01) | 48.64% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
