Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Tachira0 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Tachira (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 River Plate
Friday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Tachira | Draw | River Plate |
26.68% ( 0.24) | 26.08% ( -0.5) | 47.24% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 2.03) | 53.76% ( -2.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 1.68) | 75.24% ( -1.68) |
Deportivo Tachira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% ( 1.3) | 35.22% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.03% ( 1.33) | 71.97% ( -1.33) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( 0.99) | 22.75% ( -1) |