MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:47:09| >> :600:721045:721045:
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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto

Always Ready
1 - 0
Nacional

Rodriguez (13')
Caicedo (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Izquierdo (8'), Bentancourt (59'), Baez (62'), Recoba (65'), Mejia (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Always Ready and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cristal 3-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Wanderers
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.

Result
Always ReadyDrawNacional
50.09% (0.254 0.25) 23.72% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 26.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.09% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.149 0.15)44.3% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.146 0.15)66.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.155 0.16)17.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (0.266 0.27)48.47% (-0.26 -0.26)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)30.57% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.8% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Always Ready 50.09%
    Nacional 26.19%
    Draw 23.72%
Always ReadyDrawNacional
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.19%

rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
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