Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.