Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Druids had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.