Maldonado1 - 3Wanderers
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
28.24% | 26.13% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 51.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.95% | 53.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.37% | 74.63% |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% | 33.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% | 70.22% |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% | 23.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% | 57.09% |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.62% |
Torres (90+2')
Ravecca (44'), (44'), Tealde (57'), Tellechea (71'), (84'), (89')
Alcoba (40'), Araujo (55'), Riolfo (89'), (90+4')
Castellanos (38'), Pagano (42'), Cantera (84')