Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.