Nacional
2 - 0
Maldonado

Bergessio (41'), Fernandez (70')
Corujo (73'), Bergessio (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
51.97%	24.3%	23.73%

Both teams to score 52.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04%

48.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96%

71.03%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18%

18.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75%

50.24%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87%

35.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12%

71.87%

Score Analysis

Nacional 51.96%

Deportivo Maldonado 23.73%

Draw 24.3%

Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.96%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.03% Total : 23.73%