Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
