Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 89.12%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 3.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Khimki
89.12% ( 0.1)	7.54% ( -0.08)	3.34% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.63% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.53% (

0.33)

21.47% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.83% (

0.46)

40.17% (

-0.46)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.08% (

0.06)

2.93% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.74% (

0.21)

13.26% (

-0.22)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.01% (

0.21)

52.99% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.36% (

0.13)

86.65% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 89.11%

Khimki 3.34%

Draw 7.54%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Khimki
3-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.23% Total : 89.11%	1-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 7.54%	1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 3.34%