Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 0-3 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
10.82% ( 0.37)	17.64% ( -0.09)	71.55% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

1.47)

42.44% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

1.45)

64.85% (

-1.44)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.52% (

1.66)

47.49% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.15% (

1.21)

82.85% (

-1.2)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

0.33)

10.54% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.74% (

0.73)

34.26% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 10.82%

Zenit St Petersburg 71.54%

Draw 17.64%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.82%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.64%	0-2 @ 12.66% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 9.5% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.18) 0-5 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.54%