Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 73.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.