Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Sobolev (41'), Gigot (45+4')
Gigot (71')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Khlusevich (36')
Lesovoy (13'), Sokol (30'), Kostadinov (33'), Panteleev (43'), Khlusevich (83'), Causic (90')
Lesovoy (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
50.25%	25.99%	23.76%

Both teams to score 47.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47%

55.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3%

76.71%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85%

22.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46%

55.54%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.26%

38.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.52%

75.48%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 50.24%

Arsenal Tula 23.76%

Draw 25.99%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.93% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.76%