Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Niort had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
