Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Niort had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.