Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.