Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
