Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Bragantino

Rollheiser (66' pen.)
Lollo (5'), Benedetti (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramires (45+1')
Capixaba (16'), Mosquera (24'), Evangelista (52'), Alerrandro (89')
Capixaba (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Estudiantes and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Estudiantes 5-2 Barracas Central
Friday, June 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bragantino

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We said: Estudiantes 2-0 Bragantino

Estudiantes come into this clash in sincillating form and should be confident of all but securing top spot in the group with a win on Wednesday evening. Bragantino face a tough trip to Argentina, and we believe they will suffer back-to-back defeats for the first time since February to relinquish their first-placed standing in Group C. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Bragantino
47.64% ( 0.46)	25.76% ( 0.08)	26.58% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 50.91% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

-0.69)

52.59% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-0.6)

74.24% (

0.58)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0.09)

22.07% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

-0.12)

55.42% (

0.11)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

-0.81)

34.66% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

-0.87)

71.38% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 47.63%

Bragantino 26.59%

Draw 25.76%

Estudiantes	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.63%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.59%