Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Tacuary win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Tacuary	Draw	Bragantino
13.5% ( 0.03)	21.26% ( -0.04)	65.23% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.73% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63% (

0.18)

51.36% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.16)

73.18% (

-0.16)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

0.15)

48.54% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38% (

0.11)

83.62% (

-0.11)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

0.06)

15.01% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

0.12)

43.48% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Tacuary 13.5%

Bragantino 65.22%

Draw 21.26%

Tacuary	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 13.5%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 13.81% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 13.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 65.22%