Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Orebro win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
