Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kalmar win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.